Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.004751 0.005368 0.006071 0.006938 0.007990 0.009239 0.010857
2026-02-01 0.003766 0.004498 0.005401 0.006624 0.008275 0.010490 0.013807
2026-02-08 0.003193 0.003946 0.004926 0.006333 0.008380 0.011383 0.016422
2026-02-15 0.002919 0.003715 0.004796 0.006437 0.008993 0.013084 0.020810
2026-02-22 0.002642 0.003434 0.004547 0.006307 0.009200 0.014171 0.024568
2026-03-01 0.002402 0.003176 0.004291 0.006113 0.009247 0.014972 0.028111
2026-03-08 0.002217 0.002975 0.004093 0.005977 0.009353 0.015893 0.032370
2026-03-15 0.002129 0.002907 0.004085 0.006144 0.010027 0.018127 0.041252
2026-03-22 0.002067 0.002870 0.004119 0.006384 0.010884 0.021048 0.054570
2026-03-29 0.002020 0.002850 0.004178 0.006673 0.011904 0.024771 0.074940
2026-04-05 0.001913 0.002727 0.004051 0.006595 0.012121 0.026525 0.090005
2026-04-12 0.001818 0.002617 0.003935 0.006524 0.012339 0.028380 0.108766
2026-04-19 0.001705 0.002475 0.003763 0.006345 0.012330 0.029767 0.129523
2026-04-26 0.001588 0.002319 0.003555 0.006071 0.012046 0.030214 0.146340
2026-05-03 0.001484 0.002179 0.003366 0.005814 0.011754 0.030548 0.164391
2026-05-10 0.001438 0.002134 0.003345 0.005906 0.012393 0.034633 0.235981
2026-05-17 0.001369 0.002045 0.003234 0.005791 0.012447 0.036518 0.296796
2026-05-24 0.001298 0.001950 0.003104 0.005619 0.012307 0.037548 0.356114
2026-05-31 0.001240 0.001872 0.003002 0.005498 0.012291 0.039185 0.448969
2026-06-07 0.001217 0.001856 0.003017 0.005647 0.013128 0.045641 0.807386
2026-06-14 0.001203 0.001853 0.003056 0.005859 0.014237 0.054880 1.902733
2026-06-21 0.001192 0.001857 0.003110 0.006115 0.015588 0.067727 7.660133
2026-06-28 0.001151 0.001801 0.003038 0.006046 0.015775 0.072866 21.873561